Optimal experimentation in a changing environment

Authors
Citation
G. Keller et S. Rady, Optimal experimentation in a changing environment, REV ECON S, 66(3), 1999, pp. 475-507
Citations number
34
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
REVIEW OF ECONOMIC STUDIES
ISSN journal
00346527 → ACNP
Volume
66
Issue
3
Year of publication
1999
Pages
475 - 507
Database
ISI
SICI code
0034-6527(199907)66:3<475:OEIACE>2.0.ZU;2-0
Abstract
This paper studies optimal experimentation by a monopolist who faces an unk nown demand curve subject to random changes, and who maximizes profits over an infinite horizon in continuous time. We show that there are two qualita tively very different regimes, determined by the discount rate and the inte nsities of demand curve switching, and the dependence of the optimal policy on these parameters is discontinuous. One regime is characterized by extre me experimentation and good tracking of the prevailing demand curve, the ot her by moderate experimentation and poor tracking. Moreover, in the latter regime the agent eventually becomes "trapped" into taking actions in a stri ct subset of the feasible set.