Low heart rate (HR) variability is associated with increased risk of cardio
vascular morbidity and mortality, but the causes and mechanisms of this ass
ociation are not well known. This prospective study was designed to test th
e hypothesis that reduced HR variability is related to progression of coron
ary atherosclerosis. Average HR and HR variability were analyzed in 12-hour
ambulatory ECG recordings from 265 qualified patients participating in a m
ulticenter study to evaluate the angiographic progression of coronary arter
y disease in patients with prior coronary artery bypass surgery and low hig
h-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations (<1.1 mmol/L). Participant
s were randomized to receive a placebo or gemfibrozil therapy. The progress
ion of coronary atherosclerosis was estimated by quantitative, computer-ass
isted analysis of coronary artery stenoses from the baseline angiograms and
from repeated angiograms performed an average of 32 months later. The prog
ression of focal coronary atherosclerosis of the patients randomized to pla
cebo therapy was more marked in the tertile with the lowest standard deviat
ion of all normal to normal R-R intervals (SDNN, 74+/-13 ms; mean decrease
in the per-patient minimum luminal diameter -0.17 mm; 95% confidence interv
al [CI], -0.23 to -0.12 mm) than in the middle tertile (SDNN, 107+/-7 ms; m
ean decrease -0.05 mm; 95% CI, -0.08 to -0.01 mm) or highest tertile (SDNN,
145+/-25 ms; mean change 0.01 mm; 95% CI, -0.04 to 0.02 mm) (P<0.001 betwe
en the tertiles). This association was abolished by gemfibrozil. SDNN was l
ower (P<0.001) and minimum HR was faster (P<0.01) in the patients with mark
ed progression than in those with regression of focal coronary atherosclero
sis. In multiple regression analysis including HR variability, minimum HR,
demographic and clinical variables, smoking, blood pressure, glucose, lipid
measurements and lipid-modifying therapy, progression of focal coronary at
herosclerosis was independently predicted by the SDNN (beta=0.24; P=0.0001)
. Low HR variability analyzed from ambulatory ECG predicts rapid progressio
n of coronary artery disease. HR variability provided information on progre
ssion of focal coronary atherosclerosis beyond that obtained by traditional
risk markers of atherosclerosis.