Cross-sectional studies suggest that an increased urinary albumin excretion
rate is associated with cardiovascular disease, dyslipidemia, and hyperten
sion. The purpose of this study was to analyze prospectively whether the ur
inary albumin-to -creatinine (A/C) ratio can independently predict ischemic
heart disease (IHD) in a population-based cohort. In 1983, urinary albumin
and creatinine levels were measured, along with the conventional atheroscl
erotic risk factors, in 2085 consecutive participants without MD, renal dis
ease, urinary tract infection, or diabetes mellitus. The participants were
followed up until death, emigration, or December 31, 1993. IHD was defined
as a hospital discharge diagnosis or cause of death including the diagnoses
ICD-8 and 410 to 414. Seventy-nine individuals developed IHD during the 21
130 person-years of follow-up. They were characterized by a preponderance
of males and higher age, body mass index, blood pressure, lipoproteins, and
proportion of current smokers. Microalbuminuria was defined as an A/C rati
o) >90 percentile (>0.65 mg/mmol). When adjusted for other risk factors, th
e relative risk of MD associated with microalbuminuria was 2.3 (95% CI, 1.3
to 3.9, P=0.002), and the 10-year disease-free survival decreased from 97%
to: 91% (P<0.0001) when microalbuminuria was present. An interaction betwe
en microalbuminuria and smoking was observed, and the presence of microalbu
minuria more than doubled the predictive effect of the conventional atheros
clerotic risk factors for development of IHD. It is concluded that microalb
uminuria is not only an independent predictor of IHD but also substantially
increases the risk associated with other established risk factors.