claim that the four-item index developed by Inglehart is invalid because re
spondents' first and second choices are randomly related and that it fails
to predict respondents' positions on theoretically relevant social issues.
We maintain that they make unwarranted assumptions about how responses to i
psative items should be related and demonstrate that the value indicators m
-e powerful predictors. Clarke et al. argue that the trend toward postmater
ialism does not result from long-term generational change but simply reflec
ts declining inflation and rising unemployment over the past quarter-centur
y. We show that period effects, particularly inflation, influence observed
values. But after controlling for inflation, there is still a :substantial
shift toward postmaterialism. Moreover, rising unemployment partly offsets
the effect of falling inflation.