I. Kirchner et al., Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption, J GEO RES-A, 104(D16), 1999, pp. 19039-19055
We simulate climate change for the 2-year period following the eruption of
Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines on June 15, 1991, with the ECHAM4 general
circulation model (GCM). The model was forced by realistic aerosol spatial
-time distributions and spectral radiative characteristics calculated using
Stratospheric Aerosol, and Gas Experiment II extinctions and Upper Atmosph
ere Research Satellite-retrieved effective radii. We calculate statistical
ensembles of GCM simulations with and without volcanic aerosols for 2 years
after the eruption for three different sea surface temperatures (SSTs): cl
imatological SST, El Nino-type SST of 1991-1993, and La Nina-type SST of 19
84-1986. We performed detailed comparisons of calculated fields with observ
ations, We analyzed the atmospheric response to Pinatubo radiative forcing
and the ability of the GCM to reproduce it with different SSTs. The tempera
ture of the tropical lower stratosphere increased by 4 K because of aerosol
absorption of terrestrial longwave and solar near-infrared radiation. The
heating is larger than observed, but that is because in this simulation we
did not account for quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) cooling and the coolin
g effects of volcanically induced ozone depletion. We estimated that both Q
BO and ozone depletion decrease the stratospheric temperature by about 2 K.
The remaining 2 K stratospheric warming is in good agreement with observat
ions. By comparing the runs with the Pinatubo aerosol forcing with those wi
th no aerosols, we find that the model calculates a general cooling of the
global troposphere, but with a clear winter warming pattern of surface air
temperature over Northern Hemisphere continents. This pattern is consistent
with the observed temperature patterns. The stratospheric heating and trop
ospheric summer cooling are directly caused by aerosol radiative effects, b
ut the winter warming is indirect, produced by dynamical responses to the e
nhanced stratospheric latitudinal temperature gradient. The aerosol radiati
ve forcing, stratospheric thermal response, and summer tropospheric cooling
do not depend significantly on SST. The stratosphere-troposphere dynamic i
nteractions and tropospheric climate response in winter are sensitive to SS
T.