Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption

Citation
I. Kirchner et al., Climate model simulation of winter warming and summer cooling following the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption, J GEO RES-A, 104(D16), 1999, pp. 19039-19055
Citations number
51
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Volume
104
Issue
D16
Year of publication
1999
Pages
19039 - 19055
Database
ISI
SICI code
Abstract
We simulate climate change for the 2-year period following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines on June 15, 1991, with the ECHAM4 general circulation model (GCM). The model was forced by realistic aerosol spatial -time distributions and spectral radiative characteristics calculated using Stratospheric Aerosol, and Gas Experiment II extinctions and Upper Atmosph ere Research Satellite-retrieved effective radii. We calculate statistical ensembles of GCM simulations with and without volcanic aerosols for 2 years after the eruption for three different sea surface temperatures (SSTs): cl imatological SST, El Nino-type SST of 1991-1993, and La Nina-type SST of 19 84-1986. We performed detailed comparisons of calculated fields with observ ations, We analyzed the atmospheric response to Pinatubo radiative forcing and the ability of the GCM to reproduce it with different SSTs. The tempera ture of the tropical lower stratosphere increased by 4 K because of aerosol absorption of terrestrial longwave and solar near-infrared radiation. The heating is larger than observed, but that is because in this simulation we did not account for quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) cooling and the coolin g effects of volcanically induced ozone depletion. We estimated that both Q BO and ozone depletion decrease the stratospheric temperature by about 2 K. The remaining 2 K stratospheric warming is in good agreement with observat ions. By comparing the runs with the Pinatubo aerosol forcing with those wi th no aerosols, we find that the model calculates a general cooling of the global troposphere, but with a clear winter warming pattern of surface air temperature over Northern Hemisphere continents. This pattern is consistent with the observed temperature patterns. The stratospheric heating and trop ospheric summer cooling are directly caused by aerosol radiative effects, b ut the winter warming is indirect, produced by dynamical responses to the e nhanced stratospheric latitudinal temperature gradient. The aerosol radiati ve forcing, stratospheric thermal response, and summer tropospheric cooling do not depend significantly on SST. The stratosphere-troposphere dynamic i nteractions and tropospheric climate response in winter are sensitive to SS T.