A model of seed germination is proposed which uses a variable with the unit
s of an osmotic potential (virtual osmotic potential) to integrate the effe
ct of a constant or a varying water potential. This differs from existing m
odels that describe the effects of fixed water potentials on germination, o
r the effects of fixed priming water potentials on the subsequent germinati
on at a fixed water potential. When a seed is sown, the virtual osmotic pot
ential is assumed to fall at a rate that depends on the ambient water poten
tial, and on the difference between its current and a minimum value. Radicl
e growth is assumed to initiate when the difference between the ambient wat
er potential and the virtual osmotic potential exceeds a threshold. The ger
mination of carrot and onion seeds at various fixed potentials below 0 MPa
was well described by the virtual osmotic potential model. The model was al
so used to simulate the results of experiments in which seeds were given a
single step change in water potential.