Quantile plots, partial orders, and financial risk

Citation
Jg. Kuczmarski et Pr. Rosenbaum, Quantile plots, partial orders, and financial risk, AM STATISTN, 53(3), 1999, pp. 239-246
Citations number
25
Categorie Soggetti
Mathematics
Journal title
AMERICAN STATISTICIAN
ISSN journal
00031305 → ACNP
Volume
53
Issue
3
Year of publication
1999
Pages
239 - 246
Database
ISI
SICI code
0003-1305(199908)53:3<239:QPPOAF>2.0.ZU;2-X
Abstract
Quantile-quantile plots are most commonly used to compare the shapes of dis tributions, but they may also be used in conjunction with partial orders on distributions to compare the level and dispersion of distributions that ha ve different shapes. We discuss several easily recognized patterns in quant ile-quantile plots that suffice to demonstrate that one distribution is sma ller than another in terms of each of several partial orders. We illustrate with financial applications, proposing a quantile plot for comparing the r isks and returns of portfolios of investments. As competing portfolios have distributions that differ in level, dispersion, nan shape. it is not suffi cient to compare portfolios using measures of location and dispersion, such as expected returns and variances; howe:ver, quantile plots, with suitable scaling, do aid in such comparisons. In two plots, we compare specific por tfolios to the stock market as a whole, finding these portfolios to have hi gher returns, greater risks or dispersion, thicker tails than their greater dispersion alone would justify. Nonetheless, investors in these risky port folios are more than adequately compensated for the risks undertaken.