Objectives-To assess the proportion of children with febrile disease who su
ffer from malaria and to identify clinical signs and symptoms that predict
malaria during low and high transmission seasons.
Study design-2490 children aged 2 to 59 months presenting to a health centr
e in rural Ethiopia with fever had their history documented and the followi
ng investigations: clinical examination, diagnosis, haemoglobin measurement
, and a blood smear for malaria parasites. Clinical findings were related t
o the presence of malaria parasitaemia.
Results-Malaria contributed to 5.9% of all febrile cases from January to Ap
ril and to 30.3% during the rest of the year. Prediction of malaria was imp
roved by simple combinations of a few signs and symptoms. Fever with a hist
ory of previous malarial attack or absence of cough or a finding of pallor
gave a sensitivity of 83% in the high risk season and 75% in the low risk s
eason, with corresponding specificities of 51% and 60%; fever with a previo
us malaria attack or pallor or splenomegaly had sensitivities of 80% and 69
% and specificities of 65% and 81% in high and low risk settings, respectiv
ely.
Conclusion-Better clinical definitions are possible for low malaria setting
s when microscopic examination cannot be done. Health workers should be tra
ined to detect pallor and splenomegaly because these two signs improve the
specificity for malaria.