A mathematical model and a corresponding coupled numerical model that incor
porate the concepts of three dimensional poroelasticity based on plot's con
solidation theory are developed for simulating the displacement field of so
lids within unconsolidated aquifers in response to induced changes in water
pressure, The granular displacement model (or GDM) is incorporated into MO
DFLOW, a U.S. Geological Survey's finite-difference program, and uses an ef
ficient row-indexed storage mode and biconjugate gradient solver, so that i
t is tractable at the field scale. The application to three dimensions is a
n improvement over two-dimensional axisymmetric models incorporating Blot's
equations and over the commonly used one-dimensional subsidence models bas
ed on Terzaghi's method of effective stress. Most subsidence due to ground-
water withdrawal occurs in the inelastic range of specific storage within c
lay interbeds or confining units, However, most horizontal deformation occu
rs within coarser aquifer units, The GDM program uses both elastic and inel
astic storage and Poisson's ratio as key parameters. Conversion from elasti
c to inelastic specific storage occurs when the previous maximum volume str
ain for a particular cell is exceeded, Model outputs are compared with a cu
rrently available one-dimensional subsidence model (IBS1) developed for MOD
FLOW and an axisymmetric finite-element Blot program, The results indicate
that under traction free conditions subsidence is a three-dimensional probl
em and one-dimensional subsidence models tend to focus excessive amounts of
vertical deformation near the pumped well. The magnitude of vertical defor
mation in one-dimensional subsidence models is exacerbated as the grid size
becomes smaller in the vicinity of the pumping well. This is due to increa
sed calculated drawdown in the vicinity of the well for more finely-spaced
grids.