M. Ely et al., Secular changes in the association of parental divorce and children's educational attainment - Evidence from three British birth cohorts, J SOC POL, 28, 1999, pp. 437-455
This article examines the secular trends in the overall association of pare
ntal divorce (or separation) and children's educational attainment at schoo
l-leaving age during the period spanning a quarter of a century since the s
econd world war in Britain, The study presents a reanalysis of data from th
e three British birth cohorts which studied children bum in 1946, 1958 and
1970, Equivalent educational attainment at the different time points is def
ined relative to the population distribution at the time, using the median
level. The relative risks (with 95 per cent confidence intervals) of lower
than median educational attainment associated with parental divorce (or sep
aration) are 1.3 (1.2 to 1.5), 1.4(1.3 to 1.5) and 1.4 (1.3 to 1.5)for the
three cohorts respectively, These results refute the commonly held opinion
that the effects of divorce on children have attenuated with the Increasing
prevalence of divorce.