Hypothetical knowledge and counterfactual reasoning

Authors
Citation
Jy. Halpern, Hypothetical knowledge and counterfactual reasoning, INT J GAME, 28(3), 1999, pp. 315-330
Citations number
12
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GAME THEORY
ISSN journal
00207276 → ACNP
Volume
28
Issue
3
Year of publication
1999
Pages
315 - 330
Database
ISI
SICI code
0020-7276(1999)28:3<315:HKACR>2.0.ZU;2-B
Abstract
Samet introduced a notion of hypothetical knowledge and showed how it could be used to capture the type of counterfactual reasoning necessary to force the backwards induction solution in a game of perfect information. He argu ed that while hypothetical knowledge and the extended information structure s used to model it bear some resemblance to the way philosophers have used conditional logic to model counterfactuals, hypothetical knowledge cannot b e reduced to conditional logic together with epistemic logic. Here it is sh own that in fact hypothetical knowledge can be captured using the standard counterfactual operator ">" and the knowledge operator "K", provided that s ome assumptions are made regarding the interaction between the two. It is a rgued, however, that these assumptions are unreasonable in general, as are the axioms that follow from them. Some implications for game theory are dis cussed.