Stochastic modeling and generation of synthetic sequences of hourly globalsolar irradiation at Quetta, Pakistan

Authors
Kamal, L Jafri, YZ
Citation
L. Kamal et Yz. Jafri, Stochastic modeling and generation of synthetic sequences of hourly globalsolar irradiation at Quetta, Pakistan, RENEW ENERG, 18(4), 1999, pp. 565-572
Citations number
12
Categorie Soggetti
Environmental Engineering & Energy
Journal title
RENEWABLE ENERGY
ISSN journal
09601481 → ACNP
Volume
18
Issue
4
Year of publication
1999
Pages
565 - 572
Database
ISI
SICI code
0960-1481(199912)18:4<565:SMAGOS>2.0.ZU;2-X
Abstract
Using hourly global radiation data at Quetta, Pakistan for 10 yr, an Autore gressive Moving Average (ARMA) process is fitted. Markov Transition Matrice s have also been developed. These models are used for generating synthetic sequences for hourly radiations in MJ/m(2) and that the generated sequences are compared with the observed data. We found the MTM approach relatively better as a simulator compared to ARMA modeling. (C) 1999 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.