A. Green et al., SKIN-CANCER IN A SUBTROPICAL AUSTRALIAN POPULATION - INCIDENCE AND LACK OF ASSOCIATION WITH OCCUPATION, American journal of epidemiology, 144(11), 1996, pp. 1034-1040
Because it is not possible to monitor skin cancer accurately using rou
tine methods, special surveys have been undertaken in Nambour, a typic
al subtropical community in Queensland, Australia. Estimates of incide
nce reported here are based on skin cancers medically treated between
1985 and 1992 and new cases diagnosed by dermatologists in two examina
tion clinics in 1986 acid 1992. Among men and women aged 18-69 years i
n 1986, age-adjusted incidence rates of basal cell carcinoma were 2,07
4 and 1,579 per 100,000 per year, respectively-the highest incidence r
ates of a specific cancer ever reported. Squamous cell carcinoma occur
red at half the rate of basal cell carcinoma among men and at about on
e third the rate among women. Although as expected, fair skin, a histo
ry of repeated sunburns, and nonmalignant solar skin damage diagnosed
by dermatologists were strongly associated with both types of skin can
cer, outdoor occupation was not. Significant self-selection was observ
ed among outdoor workers, whereby people with fair or medium complexio
ns and a tendency to sunburn were systematically underrepresented amon
g those in long-term outdoor occupations although they accounted for m
ore than 80 percent of the community study sample. The mitigating effe
ct of this selection bias may partly explain the paradox of the lack o
f quantitative evidence of a causal link between sun exposure and skin
cancer in humans.