Objective. To define the onset and duration of effect of the HLA alleles th
at are associated with disease susceptibility and protection in juvenile rh
eumatoid arthritis (JRA) and 2 of its subtypes.
Methods. We typed 680 patients with JRA and 254 ethnically matched unrelate
d controls for HLA class I and II genes. The frequency of each allele was c
alculated for each of the age-at-onset, onset type, and sex categories and
plotted against the allele frequency in the control population. Survival an
alysis (with onset of disease as the terminating event) was used to calcula
te the age by which 50% (S(t)0.5) and 80% (S(t)0.2) of the children with pa
rticular alleles and combinations of alleles develop disease. This allele-s
pecific survival analysis also allowed for the comparison of the overall su
rvival functions for the various JRA subtype and sex categories.
Results. Certain alleles are strongly associated with early susceptibility
to pauciarticular JRA, including HLA-A2, DR8, DR5, and DPB1*0201, Fifty per
cent of the children carrying at least 1 of these alleles had disease onset
prior to their third birthday. Among children who carried HLA-A2 and any 2
HLA-DR alleles (DR3, DR5, DR6, or DR8), the median age at the onset of pau
ciarticular disease was 2.7 years. Combinations of A2 and DPB1*0201 and one
DR allele narrowed the window further to a median age at onset of 2.4 year
s. B27 and DR4 were associated with protection early in life but with incre
ased risk later in childhood, with S(t)0.5 values of 7.3 and 6.6 years, res
pectively, for pauciarticular JRA and S(t)0.5 values of 10.2 and 10.7 years
, respectively, for polyarticular JRA. Sex strongly influenced the age at w
hich many of the alleles have their effect.
Conclusion. These data define at what age and for how long various HLA alle
les influence susceptibility and protection (window-of-effect) in patients
with JRA. In addition, these data establish more clearly the boundaries of
ages-at-onset for 2 of the subtypes of the disease.