We calculated the short-term and long-term risks of developing cancer among
3,766 patients with a diagnosis of cutaneous melanoma In situ in Sweden fr
om 1958 to 1992. In total, 393 patients developed a primary cancer at any s
ite compared with an expected number of 177 [standardized incidence ratio (
SIR) = 2.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.0-2.4]. Patients below 60 year
s of age at diagnosis had the highest SIR (2.7, 95% CI = 2.3-3.2). The over
all risks were similar between men and women. The highest risk was seen dur
ing the first year of follow-up, though the, risk remained elevated also af
ter 15 or more years of follow-up. For specific sites, the highest SIR was
found for developing invasive cutaneous malignant melanoma (SIR = 22.2). Th
e risk of subsequent primary non-melanoma skin cancer was elevated 8-fold i
n men and almost 7-fold in women. An elevated risk was also found for femal
e breast cancer (SIR = 1.4). Especially among women, other sites with incre
ased cancer risk (though not significant) were non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (SIR
= 1.9), multiple myeloma (3.2) and cancers of the colon (1.6) and pancreas
(1.6). In conclusion, patients with melanoma in situ run a generally increa
sed risk of developing primary cancers, especially cutaneous malignant mela
noma and non-melanoma skin cancer. The increased long-term risk of cancer a
fter diagnosis of melanoma In situ may be due to continuing carcinogenic ex
posure or to intrinsic tumor susceptibility, (C) 1999 Wiley-Liss, Inc.