Coral reefs are generally considered to be the most biologically productive
of all marine ecosystems, but in recent times these vulnerable aquatic res
ources have been subject to unusual degradation. The general decline in ree
fs has been greatly accelerated by mass bleaching in which corals whiten en
masse and often fail to recover. Empirical evidence indicates a coral reef
bleaching cycle in which major bleaching episodes are synchronized with El
Nino events that occur every 3-4 years on average. By heating vast areas o
f the Pacific Ocean, and affecting the Indian and Atlantic Oceans as well,
El Nino causes widespread damage to reefs largely because corals are very s
ensitive to temperature changes. However, mass bleaching events were rarely
observed before the 1970s and their abrupt appearance two decades ago rema
ins an enigma. Here we propose a new explanation for the sudden occurrence
of mass bleaching and show that it may be a response to the relative increa
se in El Nino experienced over the last two decades.