Rollins et al. (D.K. Rollins, J.M. Liang, P. Smith. Accurate simplistic pre
dictive modeling of nonlinear dynamic processes, ISA Transactions 4 (1998)
293-303.) introduced a predictive modeling approach that uses a semi-empiri
cal model in an algorithm that changes the model form when input changes oc
cur. This approach was found to be very accurate under a variety of samplin
g conditions when processes follow first order dynamics. The purpose of thi
s article is to demonstrate the ability of this approach to accurately pred
ict output response for systems with complex dynamics. More specifically, t
his approach is evaluated on a mathematically simulated CSTR that approxima
tely follows underdamped second order behavior for changes in coolant flow
rate and inverse second order behavior for changes in feed rate. This work
demonstrates creativity in obtaining accurate fitted models with coefficien
ts that vary widely over the input space using a few number of experimental
runs to obtain the model coefficients. The proposed method is evaluated un
der conditions of high input (coolant flow rate) change frequency, variable
change rate of the input, and no sampling of the output. (C) 1999 Elsevier
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