Previous analyses of the implementation of inflation targeting are extended
to monetary policy responses to different shocks, consequences of model un
certainty, and effects of interest rate smoothing and stabilization. Model
uncertainty, output stabilization, and interest rate stabilization or smoot
hing all call for a more gradual adjustment of the conditional inflation fo
recast toward the inflation target. The conditional inflation forecast is t
he natural intermediate target during inflation targeting. The optimal way
of reacting to shocks is hence to check how they affect the inflation forec
ast and then take the appropriate action. JEL classification: E42; E52; E58
.