Weather regimes in past climate atmospheric general circulation model simulations

Citation
M. Kageyama et al., Weather regimes in past climate atmospheric general circulation model simulations, CLIM DYNAM, 15(10), 1999, pp. 773-793
Citations number
82
Categorie Soggetti
Earth Sciences
Journal title
CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN journal
09307575 → ACNP
Volume
15
Issue
10
Year of publication
1999
Pages
773 - 793
Database
ISI
SICI code
0930-7575(199910)15:10<773:WRIPCA>2.0.ZU;2-O
Abstract
We investigate the climates of the present-day, Inception of the Last Glaci ation (115000 y ago) and Last Glacial Maximum (21 000 y ago) in the extratr opical north Atlantic and Europe, as simulated by the Laboratoire de Meteor ologie Dynamique Atmospheric General Circulation Model. We use these simula tions to investigate the low-frequency variability of the model in differen t climates. The aim is to evaluate whether changes in the intraseasonal var iability, which we characterize using weather regimes, can help describe th e impact of different boundary conditions on climate and give a better unde rstanding of climate change processes. Weather regimes are defined as the m ost recurrent patterns in the 500 hPa geopotential height, using a clusteri ng algorithm method. The regimes found in the climate simulations of the pr esent-day and inception of the last glaciation are similar in their number and their structure. It is the regimes' populations which are found to be d ifferent for these climates, with an increase of the model's blocked regime and a decrease in the zonal regime at the inception of the last glaciation . This description reinforces the conclusions from a study of the differenc es between the climatological averages of the different runs and confirms t he northeastward shift to the tail of the Atlantic storm-track, which would favour more precipitation over the site of growth of the Fennoscandian ice -sheet. On the other hand, the Last Glacial Maximum results over this secto r are not found to be classifiable, showing that the change in boundary con ditions can be responsible for severe changes in the weather regime and low -frequency dynamics. The LGM Atlantic low-frequency variability appears to be dominated by a large-scale retrogressing wave with a period 40 to 50 day s. In addition weather regimes are found in a sector located further eastwa rd over the east Atlantic and European continent and are proved to be linke d to this low-frequency oscillation.