Bank acquisitions have increased in recent years, as more banks attempt to
exploit potential synergies, economies of scale, and other benefits. Numero
us studies have; determined that bank acquisitions generate strong positive
valuation effects for targets on average, while the evidence of the impact
on acquirers is mixed. Our objectives are: (1) determine whether the annou
ncement of a bank acquisition transmits intra-industry signals; (2) explain
why the intra-industry effects vary across acquisition announcements; and
(3) explain why the valuation effects of individual rival banks vary. We fi
nd that bank acquisition announcements generate significant positive intra-
industry effects, on average.
The intra-industry effects of rival bank portfolios are not uniform across
announcements, as they are conditioned by variables that could signal infor
mation about the probability that rival banks will become takeover targets.
The valuation effects of rival bank portfolios are positively related to t
he valuation effects of the target banks, and inversely related to the size
and prior performance of rival bank portfolios. Furthermore, the valuation
effects are more favorable for individual rival banks that are ultimately
acquired. To the extent that these variables reflect the probability of bei
ng acquired in the future, the intra-industry effects appear to be more fav
orable for acquisitions in which there is a higher probability that the cor
responding rivals will become targets. Overall, investors discriminate base
d on event-specific and rival bank-specific characteristics when interpreti
ng the signal transmitted as a result of bank acquisitions. (C) 1999 Publis
hed by Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. JEL dassification: G21; G
34.