The wave of electricity marker restructuring both within the United States
and abroad has brought the issue of horizontal market power to the forefron
t of energy policy. Traditionally, estimation and prediction of marker powe
r has relied heavily on concentration measures. In this paper, we discuss t
he weaknesses of concentration measures as a viable measure of market power
in the electricity industry, and we propose an alternative method based on
market simulations that take advantage of existing plant level data. We di
scuss results from previous studies the authors have performed, and present
new results that allow for the detection of threshold demand levels where
market power is likely to be a problem. In addition, we analyze the impact
of that recent divestitures in the California electricity market will have
on estimated market power. We close with a discussion of the policy implica
tions of the results.