Objective: To investigate trends in the incidence of medically recognized m
igraine in Olmsted County, Minnesota over approximately a decade, Methods:
The authors used the records-linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology P
roject to identify individuals whose records included any diagnostic rubric
related to headache for the 3-year period 1979 through 1981 and the 2-year
period 1989 through 1990. A nurse abstracter and a neurologist (J.W.S.) re
viewed the complete history of each potential case and assigned a diagnosis
using the International Headache Society classification (IHS, modified). O
nly patients who consulted a doctor for their headache and had their initia
l visit for migraine within the study years were considered as incident cas
es. Results: The incidence of medically recognized migraine increased in fe
male subjects between the 1979-through-1981 period and the 1989-through-199
0 period for all ages, but particularly among those who were aged 10 to 49
years. The peak incidence rate at age 20 to 29 years increased from 634.5 n
ew cases per 100,000 person-years in 1979 through 1981 to 986.4 in the 1989
-through-1990 period (absolute increase 351.9; relative increase 56%). The
rise in incidence in female subjects was most sizable for migrainous disord
er (IHS code 1.7); smaller increases were noted for migraine without aura a
nd with typical aura. Only a slight absolute increase in migraine incidence
rates was observed in male subjects, restricted to those 10 to 19 years of
age (absolute increase 174.7; relative increase 89%). Conclusions: Althoug
h the incidence rates reported here are restricted to patients who consulte
d a doctor for their headache, the authors suggest that the incidence of mi
graine has increased over time in female subjects, especially those of repr
oductive age. The increase was most pronounced for migrainous disorder. Inc
idence rates were more stable in male subjects over time.