OBJECTIVES: To determine if body mass index (BMI weight/height(2)), predict
ive of mortality in seriously ill hospitalized and institutionalized patien
ts, is also predictive of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiologic study.
DESIGN: A prospective cohort study.
SETTING: Rovereto, a town in northern Italy.
PARTICIPANTS: A consecutive sample of 214 patients aged 81.2 +/- 7.3 years
receiving community care services.
MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Malnutrition and mortality.
RESULTS: According to logistic regression analysis, malnutrition status, ex
pressed by a BMI < 22 Kg/m(2), was correlated with dependency in Activity o
f Daily Living (odds ratio 1.21; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.45). O
nly a low BMI was associated with 1-year survival in Cox regression analysi
s, after adjusting for potential confounders (relative risk 0.85; 95% CI, 0
.74-0.97). A high BMI (>27 Kg/m(2)) was not significantly related to risk o
f mortality.
CONCLUSIONS: Nutrition variables are a cardinal component of comprehensive
geriatric assessment. Our results suggest that BMI, a simple anthropometric
measure of nutritional status, is an important predictor of mortality amon
g older people living in the community. Even when controlling for clinical
and functional variables, a low BMI remained a significant and independent
predictor of shortened survival.