Kv. Johnston et al., Constraining the history of the Sagittarius dwarf galaxy using observations of its tidal debris, ASTRONOM J, 118(4), 1999, pp. 1719-1726
We present a comparison of semianalytic models of the phase-space structure
of tidal debris with measurements of average distances, velocities, and su
rface densities of stars associated with the Sagittarius dwarf galaxy, comp
iled from all observations reported since its discovery in 1994. We find th
at several interesting features in the data can be explained by these model
s. The properties of stars about +/- 10 degrees-15 degrees away from the ce
nter of Sgr-in particular, the orientation of material perpendicular to Sgr
's orbit and the kink in the velocity gradient-are consistent with those ex
pected for unbound material stripped during the most recent pericentric pas
sage similar to 50 Myr ago. The break in the slope of the surface density s
een by Mateo, Olszewski, & Morrison at b similar to -35 degrees can be unde
rstood as marking the end of this material. However, the detections beyond
this point are unlikely to represent debris in a trailing streamer, torn fr
om Sgr during the immediately preceding passage similar to 0.7 Gyr ago, as
the surface density of this streamer would be too low compared with observa
tions in these regions. The low-b detections are more plausibly explained b
y a leading streamer of material that was lost more that 1 Gyr ago and has
wrapped all the way around the Galaxy to intercept the line of sight. The d
istance and velocity measurements at b = -40 degrees reported by Majewski e
t al. in a companion paper also support this hypothesis.
We determine debris models with these properties on orbits that are consist
ent with the currently known positions and velocities of Sgr in Galactic po
tentials with halo components that have circular velocities v(circ) = 140-2
00 km s(-1). In all cases, the orbits oscillate between similar to 12 and s
imilar to 40 kpc from the Galactic center with radial time periods of 0.55-
0.75 Gyr. The best match to the data is obtained in models where Sgr curren
tly has a mass of similar to 10(9) M-. and has orbited the Galaxy for at le
ast the last I Gyr, during which time it has reduced its mass by a factor o
f 2-3, or luminosity by an amount equivalent to similar to 10% of the total
luminosity of the Galactic halo. These numbers suggest that Sgr is rapidly
disrupting and unlikely to survive beyond a few more pericentric passages.
These conclusions are only tentative, because they rely heavily on the les
s certain measurements of debris properties far from the center of Sgr. How
ever, they demonstrate the immense potential for using debris to determine
Sgr's dynamical history in great detail.