In this review, data is summarized supporting the hypothesis that axonal lo
ss is a major pathologic process responsible for irreversible neurologic di
sability in patients with multiple sclerosis. Pathologic studies implicate
inflammatory demyelination as a principal cause of axonal transection and s
ubsequent axonal degeneration. Axonal degeneration caused by chronic demyel
ination in the absence of active inflammation may also contribute to progre
ssive disability in the later stages of the disease. Studies using magnetic
resonance spectroscopy suggest that axonal loss begins at the onset of the
disease, and studies using magnetic resonance imaging have documented brai
n atrophy in the earliest stages of multiple sclerosis. Brain atrophy incre
ases during the relapsing-remitting disease stage without concurrent disabi
lity progression. This suggests that compensatory mechanisms maintain neuro
logic function, despite progressive brain tissue loss during the early stag
es of the disease. Beyond a threshold, however, further axonal loss leads t
o continuously progressive neurologic disability. We hypothesize that the r
ate and extent of axonal loss during relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis
determines when a patient enters the secondary progressive stage of the di
sease. This view of disease pathogenesis has several important implications
. First, surrogate markers of axonal loss are needed to monitor the disease
process for patient care and for clinical trials. We propose brain parench
ymal fraction, a precise measure of whole-brain atrophy, as an attractive c
andidate for this purpose. Second, disease-modifying therapy should be used
early in multiple sclerosis patients, before extensive axonal loss has occ
urred. Third, neuroprotective drugs should be tested in combination with an
ti-inflammatory drugs in multiple sclerosis patients. Finally, studies of t
he time course of axonal loss, and its mechanisms are critical for effectiv
e therapeutic intervention. (C) 1999 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.