In a Nash equilibrium, players' rationality is mutual knowledge. However, b
oth intuition and experimental evidence suggest that players do not know fo
r sure the rationality of opponents. This paper proposes a nerv equilibrium
concept, cautious equilibrium, that generalizes Nash equilibrium in terms
of preferences in two person strategic games, In a cautious equilibrium; pl
ayers do not necessarily know the rationality of opponents, but they view r
ationality as infinitely more likely than irrationality. For suitable model
s of preference, cautious equilibrium predicts that a player might take a "
cautious" strategy that is not a best response in any Nash equilibrium.