The role of absolute continuity in "merging of opinions" and "rational learning"

Citation
Ri. Miller et Cw. Sanchirico, The role of absolute continuity in "merging of opinions" and "rational learning", GAME ECON B, 29(1-2), 1999, pp. 170-190
Citations number
15
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
GAMES AND ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR
ISSN journal
08998256 → ACNP
Volume
29
Issue
1-2
Year of publication
1999
Pages
170 - 190
Database
ISI
SICI code
0899-8256(199910/11)29:1-2<170:TROACI>2.0.ZU;2-Z
Abstract
D. Blackwell and L. Dubins (1962, Ann. Math. Statist. 38, 882-886) showed t hat opinions merge when priors are absolutely continuous. E. Kalai and E. L ehrer (1993. Econometrica 61, 1019-1045) use this result to show that playe rs in a repeated game eventually play like a Nash equilibrium. We provide a n alternative proof of merging of opinions that clarifies the role of absol ute continuity while casting doubt on the relevance of the result. Persiste nt disagreement, the opposite of merging, allows the construction of a sequ ence of mutually favorable "bets." By a law of large numbers, both agents a rt certain they will win these bets on average. This certain disagreement v iolates absolute continuity. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: C11, C69, C72, D83. (C) 1999 Academic Press.