Ri. Miller et Cw. Sanchirico, The role of absolute continuity in "merging of opinions" and "rational learning", GAME ECON B, 29(1-2), 1999, pp. 170-190
D. Blackwell and L. Dubins (1962, Ann. Math. Statist. 38, 882-886) showed t
hat opinions merge when priors are absolutely continuous. E. Kalai and E. L
ehrer (1993. Econometrica 61, 1019-1045) use this result to show that playe
rs in a repeated game eventually play like a Nash equilibrium. We provide a
n alternative proof of merging of opinions that clarifies the role of absol
ute continuity while casting doubt on the relevance of the result. Persiste
nt disagreement, the opposite of merging, allows the construction of a sequ
ence of mutually favorable "bets." By a law of large numbers, both agents a
rt certain they will win these bets on average. This certain disagreement v
iolates absolute continuity. Journal of Economic Literature Classification
Numbers: C11, C69, C72, D83. (C) 1999 Academic Press.