Stochastic minimax decision rules for risk of extreme events

Citation
Gh. Wang et al., Stochastic minimax decision rules for risk of extreme events, IEEE SYST A, 29(6), 1999, pp. 533-541
Citations number
10
Categorie Soggetti
AI Robotics and Automatic Control
Journal title
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SYSTEMS MAN AND CYBERNETICS PART A-SYSTEMS AND HUMANS
ISSN journal
10834427 → ACNP
Volume
29
Issue
6
Year of publication
1999
Pages
533 - 541
Database
ISI
SICI code
1083-4427(199911)29:6<533:SMDRFR>2.0.ZU;2-Z
Abstract
We use the theory of order statistics, the concepts of first- and second-or der stochastic dominance (FSD and SSD) to develop an order statistics SSD m inimax decision rule. It can be used to refine choice within the random var iables in the SSD noninferior set. We are able to reduce the size of the SS D noninferior set when we assume that the decisionmaker is most concerned a bout the potential adverse outcomes at the right tail of the probability di stribution. In other words, we consider the risk of extreme events and buil d on order statistics in order to refine the decision rules. In some cases, the order statistics SSD minimax decision rule can provide us with a uniqu e choice from among the SSD noninferior set. We define the concept of condi tional second-order stochastic dominance (CSSD) in order to model the risk of extreme events, We also use the concept of CSSD to develop a CSSD minima x decision rule.