Evaluation of anthropogenic climate changes from simulated radiative and photochemical processes in the atmosphere

Changes in the radiative atmospheric conditions due to anthropogenic pollut ion are simulated mathematically. This simulation is used to describe the e ffect of anthropogenic and natural trace gases on the climate system in the past, as well as to estimate the influence of pollution on the radiative c onditions in the future. A new scheme for radiative forcing computations is proposed and compared with the conventional scheme. Radiative forcing and the radiative contribution to global warming are examined depending on obse rved and pre dieted emissions of basic trace gases. Various scenarios of an thropogenic pollutant emissions and individual gaseous pollutants are estim ated as sources of influence on radiative forcing and global warming.