In 1998 South Africa experienced a major influenza epidemic that was charac
terized by extensive illness and an unusually early season. The impact of t
he epidemic was charted by measuring proxy indexes of influenza activity su
ch as school absenteeism and excess mortality in persons older than 65 year
s. Viruses isolated from patients of all age groups were analyzed both anti
genically and at the molecular level to determine the characteristics of th
e influenza strain responsible for the outbreaks. The study revealed that i
nfluenza activity was detected as early as the middle of April and peaked t
oward the end of May and early June. School absenteeism correlated with a s
harp rise in virus isolation during this period. Consumption of influenza-r
elated pharmaceuticals, as well as mortality figures, also corresponded to
the increased absenteeism and virus isolation. Characterization of the viru
ses isolated during 1997 and 1998 showed clearly that the epidemic was caus
ed by the introduction of the A/Sydney/5/97-like H3N2 influenza strain into
South Africa in 1998. With no prior exposure to this virus strain, which i
s antigenically distinct from the viruses that had been present in this cou
ntry in 1997, the population was highly susceptible, resulting in an early,
rapid spread of influenza. This epidemic has highlighted the importance of
having an influenza vaccine specifically formulated for the Southern Hemis
phere. if the 1998 vaccine had not contained the A/Sydney/5/97 strain, the
widespread outbreaks in South Africa would have been far worse in terms of
morbidity, mortality, and economic loss. This, in turn, emphasizes the need
for increased influenza surveillance and international cooperation. (C) 19
99 Wiley-Liss, Inc.