The effects of intensification in dairy cattle upon ecologically harmful em
issions was investigated using a theoretical model of change in the traits
of a dairy cattle population under selection. The demand for milk by the co
nsumer was assumed to be a constant. Therefore, an increase in milk yield p
er cow and per year would lead to a reduced dairy cattle population with a
lowered capacity for beef production. The effects of compensating the reduc
tion of beef output from the dairy cattle population by additional rearing
of purebred beef cattle was simulated. The amount of nitrogen (N), phosphor
us (P) and methane (CH4) emitted by the two different production systems is
used to measure their degree of environmental compatibility. Limits in vol
untary feed intake play an important role in the input/output relationships
and were given important emphasis in the modelling process. Despite a redu
ction in the size of the total population (both dairy and beef cows) needed
to maintain milk and beef protein production, the calculated corresponding
emissions of N, P and CH4 were increased by 0.5 to 3.0%. (C) 1999 Elsevier
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