O. Bazacliu et M. Radulian, Seismicity variations in depth and time in the Vrancea (Romania) subcrustal region, NAT HAZARDS, 19(2-3), 1999, pp. 165-177
Seismicity patterns that characterize the seismic regime of the Vrancea int
ermediate-depth earthquakes are investigated using an earthquake catalogue
extending from 1974 to 1998. The analysis is made separately on two charact
eristic segments of the subducted plate (active zones) which hosted the maj
or earthquakes of 4 March 1977, 30 August 1986 and 30 May 1990. Precursory
anomalies preceding the occurrence of the major shock of 1986 (M-w = 7.3) i
n the lower part of the subducted slab are outlined when analyzing the time
variation of the gamma parameter (defined as the ratio of small to moderat
e events in a given active zone and a given time interval) and of the fract
al dimension of the earthquake space distribution. Nothing similar is notic
ed in the upper part of the Vrancea slab. The analyzed time interval coveri
ng 25 years shows that, in contrast to previous studies, the statistical fl
uctuations of the gamma parameter, computed for a time window of 5 months,
appear to be too large to be considered as precursory anomalies. Significan
t differences among characteristic depth segments are also outlined in the
frequency-magnitude distribution and are possibly related to differences in
the physical mechanism of the earthquake generation process.