Objective: To study prognostic factors for persistent otitis media with eff
usion (OME) in a birth cohort of 30 099 children born in the eastern part o
f the Netherlands between January 1, 1996, and April 1, 1997.
Design: Case-referent study.
Subjects: Children who failed a triple hearing test before their first birt
hday and were subsequently diagnosed with bilateral OME during 3 of the 4 b
imonthly visits to an ear, nose, and throat (ENT) department (n = 372). The
persistent cases were compared with 3 referent groups: (1) all the childre
n who attended the first of 3 hearing tests; (2) all the children of the bi
rth cohort who were referred to an ENT department after the third hearing t
est; and (3) all the children who were diagnosed with bilateral OME during
the first visit to an ENT department.
Results: When all the children who participated in the first hearing test w
ere taken as referents, persistent OME was associated with upper respirator
y tract infections, attending a day-care center, having older siblings, and
a family history of otitis media. When all the children who were referred
to an ENT department were taken as referents, only attending a day-care cen
ter was associated with persistent OME. When the children diagnosed with bi
lateral OME during the first visit to an ENT department were taken as refer
ents, no prognostic factors were found for OME persistence.
Conclusion: When a child is referred early, an otolaryngologist can ask the
parent about the presence of prognostic factors to decide which policy to
follow.