Lake sediment chrysophyte scales from the northeastern USA and their relationship to environmental variables

Chrysophyte scale assemblages were analyzed in the surface sediments (0-1 c m) of 146 lakes sampled in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program-Surface Waters (EMAP-SW) i n the northeastern U.S.A. Chrysophyte data from the EMAP lakes were combine d with a previous study of 71 Adirondack PIRLA (Paleoecological investigati on of Recent Lake Acidification) lakes and collectively analyzed to examine the indicator potential of scaled chrysophytes in the northeastern U.S.A. with respect to several environmental variables. Canonical correspondence a nalysis(CCA) was used to determine which environmental variables influenced the distributions of species. Forward selection and Monte Carlo permutatio n tests showed that 51% of the variance in the chrysophyte assemblages was related to pH. The other six significant variables (conductivity, chloride, total phosphorus [TP], elevation, lake depth, and watershed area) contribu ted an additional 31% of the total (82%) variance explained by the seven fo rward-selected variables. Similar to previous studies, many taxa showed dis tinct distribution patterns with respect to pH. Partial and constrained CCA s indicated that, although all seven variables explained significant propor tions of variation in the species data, a reliable inference model could be developed only for lake-water pH. The strength of this model (R-2 = 0.78, RMSEboot = 0.47 of a pH unit) is comparable to a recently constructed diato m-based model for the EMAP lakes. The use of both models in paleolimnologic al and biomonitoring studies would be advantageous because they would provi de two independent lines of evidence of environmental change.