This study analyzes the determinants of Medicare home health agency (HHA) u
se in 1984, 1989, and 1994. We estimated a two-part model, modified to adju
st for heteroskedasticity, using data from the National Long-Term Care Surv
eys and the sample members' Medicare claim files. We found an evolving patt
ern of determinants of Medicare HHA utilization. The rapid increase in use
after HHA guideline revisions in 1989 was associated closely with rising im
portance of limitations in activities of daily living and instrumental acti
vities of daily living as determinants of expected utilization. Our results
show little evidence that Medicare home health services substitute for inf
ormal home care, though they may reduce the use of skilled nursing facility
care.