ROLE OF INTERACTIONS BETWEEN PSYCHOLOGICAL AND CLINICAL FACTORS IN DETERMINING 6-MONTH MORTALITY AMONG PATIENTS WITH ACUTE MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION - APPLICATION OF RECURSIVE PARTITIONING TECHNIQUES TO THE GISSI-2 DATABASE
F. Carinci et al., ROLE OF INTERACTIONS BETWEEN PSYCHOLOGICAL AND CLINICAL FACTORS IN DETERMINING 6-MONTH MORTALITY AMONG PATIENTS WITH ACUTE MYOCARDIAL-INFARCTION - APPLICATION OF RECURSIVE PARTITIONING TECHNIQUES TO THE GISSI-2 DATABASE, European heart journal, 18(5), 1997, pp. 835-845
Background Clinical and epidemiological studies support the hypothesis
that ischaemic cardiovascular diseases are consistently associated wi
th psychological, social and behavioural factors. Nevertheless, the jo
int effect of clinical characteristics and psychological variables in
determining the prognosis of acute myocardial infarction survivors has
been seldom investigated. Methods and Results In the framework of the
GISSI-2 trial, the impact of psychological factors on 6-month mortali
ty and their interaction with clinical features was included as an ad
hoc research project. Overall, 2449 patients were evaluated, 63 of who
m died during the study period. All patients undertook a self-administ
ered questionnaire (Cognitive Behavioural Assessment Hospital Form), i
nvestigating 16 psychological dimensions relative to three areas (stat
e variables, vital exhaustion, trait variables). The impact of psychol
ogical variables on prognosis and their interaction with clinical vari
ables were investigated by using a tree-growing technique (RECursive P
artitioning and AMalgamation - RECPAM) applied to survival analysis. T
his statistical method allowed the identification of three separate cl
asses, characterized by different prognoses: Class I (presence of vita
l exhaustion), Class II (concomitance of no vital exhaustion, depressi
on and low levels of anxiety) and Class III (all other patients). Afte
r adjusting for the clinical variables, Class I was associated with an
intermediate prognosis (hazard ratio [HR]=2.2; 95% confidence interva
ls [CI] 1.2-4.0) and Class II to the worst (HR=3.2; 95% CI=1.6-6.2), a
s compared to Class III. High levels of neuroticism and extroversion w
ere associated with a better prognosis. When clinical and psychologica
l variables were simultaneously investigated by RECPAM, Type A behavio
ur was shown to be an important risk predictor among patients with bet
ter clinical conditions, i.e. those eligible for exercise test (HR=2.6
, 95% CI=1.2-5.5). Finally, a striking difference in the impact of the
most predictive clinical variables (exercise test ineligibility, late
and early ventricular failure) was found among patients with and with
out vital exhaustion. Conclusions This study shows that acute myocardi
al infarction survivors are heterogeneous with respect to 6-month mort
ality according to their psychological profile. More important, the im
pact of these variables appears comparable to that of very well known
clinical risk predictors. The availability of a large study population
, together with the use of innovative statistical techniques, allowed
us to identify subgroups of patients for whom the joint action of clin
ical and psychological characteristics has been clearly documented. Th
is suggests the need for incorporating psychological evaluation in the
care of acute myocardial infarction patients.