We have investigated the age-related change in Factor of risk (Phi) for the
proximal femoral load during free fall in 548 females and 240 males aged 2
1-79 years. These individuals were divided into either young (age <50 years
) or old group (age greater than or equal to 50 years). Another 26 females
with hip fractures were included for comparison. The bone mineral density (
BMD) of proximal femoral neck was measured by a Norland XR-26 dual-energy X
-ray absorptiometer (DXA). The estimated fracture load (L) of femoral neck
was calculated from the BMD with the regression equation derived by Courtne
y et al. [2,3] and estimated fall force (F) by body weight and height accor
ding to the regression equation derived by Nakamura et al. [6] respectively
. Phi was defined as the quotient of F/L. The results showed an age-related
decrease of BMD (P < 0.001) in both genders corrected for weight and heigh
t. By multiple Linear regression analysis, the F decreased significantly wi
th aging corrected for BMD in old males (partial r = -0.255,P < 0.01) and i
ncreased with aging in all females (young, partial r=0.287, p < 0.001; old,
(partial r = 0.252, P < 0.001). L, decreased significantly with aging corr
ected for height and weight in males (young, partial r = -0.401, P < 0.01;
old, partials = -0.178, P < 0.05) and females young, partial r = -0.168, P
< 0.05; old, partial r = -0.459, P < 0.001). However Phi decreased with agi
ng in young males (P < 0.01) and females (young: P < 0.001, old: P < 0.001)
. Phi increased in old women but not in old men, and was higher in old wome
n compared with old men. The 26 patients with hip fractures had a significa
ntly higher Phi value than 85 age-matched women. In conclusion, Phi may pro
vide a comprehensive comparison of the risk of hip fracture in the elderly
population.