Objective: To examine the effect of gender on disease progression and wheth
er gender differences in CD4 lymphocyte counts persisted for the entire cou
rse from HIV seroconversion until (death from) AIDS.
Methods: CD4 lymphocyte counts were modelled in 221 female and 443 male ser
oconverters following seroconversion, backwards From AIDS and backwards fro
m death using regression analysis for repeated measurements.
Results: In the period before use of highly active antiretroviral therapy (
HAART), progression to AIDS and to death were marginally slower in women th
an in men as assessed by proportional hazards analysis. Women seroconverted
for HIV, developed AIDS and died at higher CD4 cell counts than men (women
: 815, 146 and 44 x 10(6) cells/l, respectively; men: 727, 49 and 22 x 10(6
) cells/l, respectively), although differences were only statistically sign
ificant at AIDS onset. Declines in CD4 lymphocyte counts were not significa
ntly affected by gender and absolute differences between men and women were
stable, with exception for the trajectory close to AIDS when the decline b
ecame steeper for men than women.
Conclusion: These gender differences in CD4 lymphocyte counts suggest a del
ay of initiation of therapy in women compared with men (our model predicted
that women reach the threshold of starting HAART at about 12 months later
than men). If this delay unfavourably influences progression, treatment gui
delines should be revised so that women can benefit equally from HAART. (C)
1999 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins.