The aperture mass has been shown in a series of recent publications to be a
useful quantitative tool for weak lensing studies, ranging from cosmic she
ar to the detection of a mass-selected sample of dark matter haloes. Quanti
tative analytical predictions for the aperture mass have been based on a nu
mber of simplifying assumptions. In this paper, we test the reliability of
these assumptions and the quality of the analytic approximations, using ray
-tracing simulations through a cosmological density field generated by very
large N-body simulations. We find that those analytic predictions which ta
ke into account the non-linear evolution of the matter distribution, such a
s the dispersion of the aperture mass and the halo abundance, are surprisin
gly accurately reproduced with our numerical results, whereas the predictio
ns for the skewness, based on quasi-linear theory, are rather imprecise. In
particular, we verify numerically that the probability distribution of the
aperture mass decreases exponentially for values much larger than the rms.
Given the good overall agreement, comparisons between the observed distrib
ution of the aperture mass and the theoretical values provide a powerful to
ol for testing cosmological models.