The Czech National Bank's inflation report for Q2 1999

Citation
The Czech National Bank's inflation report for Q2 1999, FINANC A U, 49(10), 1999, pp. 602-621
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
FINANCE A UVER
ISSN journal
00151920 → ACNP
Volume
49
Issue
10
Year of publication
1999
Pages
602 - 621
Database
ISI
SICI code
0015-1920(1999)49:10<602:TCNBIR>2.0.ZU;2-D
Abstract
Though disinflation continued in the second quarter of 1999, its pace was s ignificantly slower compared to previous periods. Inflation has gradually s tabilized at low levels. In June, net inflation (y-o-y) was 0.6%, 0.2 perce ntage points lower than in Q1 1999, while the CPI (y-o-y) fell from 2.5% to 2.2%. The slowing down of disinflation was mainly due to [the effects of] higher commodity prices; the depreciation of currency from Q1 1999 was also a contributing factor. The CNB's latest rolling-event forecast points to a net inflation of betwee n 2.3-4.8% in June 2000, while its fixed-event forecast indicates a net inf lation of 1.3-2.3% in December 1999. The inflation outlook implies fulfillm ent of the lower limit of the inflation target in 2000.