Background/Aims: The reported incidence of biliary atresia varies from 5 to
32/100 000 live births. The existence of seasonality and/or clustering is
controversial. Based on a large population analysis, we examined the incide
nce of biliary atresia in France, and the space-time distribution of cases.
Methods: All patients with biliary atresia living in France and born in the
years 1986-96 were recorded. Geographic distribution, seasonality, time cl
ustering and space-time clustering were analysed. Statistical analysis used
the Chi square test, the Spearman nonparametric correlation test, the Walt
er and Elwood test for seasonality of events and Knox analysis for time and
space-time clustering.
Results: We identified 461 patients: 421 born in metropolitan France (incid
ence 5.12 [4.63-5.61]/100 000 live births), and 40 born in overseas territo
ries. No significant regional variation in incidence was found in metropoli
tan France, while the incidence was higher in French Polynesia (incidence 2
9.4 [15.4-43.3]/100 000 live births) (p<0.001). Seasonality, time-clusterin
g and time-space clustering could not be demonstrated.
Conclusions: 1) The incidence of BA was 5.7-fold higher in Polynesia than i
n metropolitan France. 2) Neither seasonal variation in incidence nor clust
ering was identified.