107 Swedish subjects, all 20 years old, were studied for the first three ye
ars (1990-1992) after they had left the organised dental care for children
and adolescents (which is free of charge for all youth through the age of 1
9). They were registered in four different risk-grouping systems in order t
o estimate the amount of their future dental care. Three of the systems use
d registrations from the Public Dental Service records and in the fourth on
e a dentist made a subjective estimation. The follow-up used dental insuran
ce claims to study performed treatments, courses of treatments and cost. Th
e risk group system that used subjective estimations appeared to be the one
that most accurately predicted the actual dental care consumption. Approxi
mately 70% of the subjects received some kind of dental care during the thr
ee years. The distribution was not confined to any particular risk group. T
en per cent had received complete dental care annually. Twenty-five per cen
t went to a private dentist and 75% continued to go to the Public Dental Se
rvice. Those who went to a private dentist received substantially more trea
tment and the annual cost was a little more than twice as much as in the Pu
blic Dental Service.