CONFLICT-MANAGEMENT IN ENDURING RIVALRIES

Conflict management and security regimes have generated much interest in international relations. ong-term conflict management, in particula r, requires a framework that privileges a longitudinal perspective; en during rivalries provide a coherent reference point from which to exam ine these issues. Before one can explain successful or unsuccessful co nflict management one must have a clear conception of what is meant by the term. There exists no clear definition of what successful conflic t management actually consists of. We develop three different interpre tations of what this can mean in the enduring rivalry context. 'Succes s' can mean (1) reduce the average level of conflict in the rivalry, ( 2) reduce the occurrence of more severe militarized conflicts, or (3) reduce the 'volatility' or variation of conflict levels. In short, the article takes the first step in explaining successful and unsuccessfu l medium- and long-term conflict management by providing three conflic t management dependent variables from which further analysis can proce ed.