Objectives: To outline the limitations of traditional studies of outcome in
schizophrenia and to review the findings arising from 'first episode' psyc
hosis studies.
Method: An extensive literature search was performed and relevant papers we
re examined and analysed.
Results: Current knowledge regarding outcome predictors in schizophrenia ha
s primarily been derived from a series of 'consecutive admission' and 'long
-term follow-back' studies. However, methodological considerations may limi
t the generalisability of these studies' findings. The prospective evaluati
on of first episode cohorts has advanced our knowledge regarding the relati
ve importance of premorbid and intercurrent factors in determining outcome
in schizophrenia,
Conclusions: To date, the 'first episode' strategy has highlighted some pot
entially clinically modifiable outcome predictors. These findings may open
the way for targeted introduction of measures aimed at preventing poor outc
omes in schizophrenia.