The objective of this study was to investigate the relationship between hyp
ertension and risk of stroke in the elderly. The study was performed within
the framework of the Rotterdam Study, a prospective population-based cohor
t study. The risk of first-ever stroke was associated with hypertension (re
lative risk, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.0) and with isolated systolic hypertensi
on (relative risk, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.1 to 2.6). We found a continuous increase
in stroke incidence with increasing blood pressure in nontreated subjects.
In treated subjects, we found a J-shaped relation between blood pressure a
nd the risk of stroke. In the lowest category of diastolic blood pressure,
the increase of stroke risk was statistically significant compared with the
reference category. Hypertension and isolated systolic hypertension are st
rong risk factors for stroke in the elderly, The increased stroke risk in t
he lowest stratum of blood pressure in treated hypertensive patients may in
dicate that the therapeutic goal of "the lower the better" is not the optim
al strategy in the elderly.