Whisper forecasts of quarterly earnings per share

Citation
M. Bagnoli et al., Whisper forecasts of quarterly earnings per share, J ACCOUNT E, 28(1), 1999, pp. 27-50
Citations number
12
Categorie Soggetti
Economics
Journal title
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS
ISSN journal
01654101 → ACNP
Volume
28
Issue
1
Year of publication
1999
Pages
27 - 50
Database
ISI
SICI code
0165-4101(199911)28:1<27:WFOQEP>2.0.ZU;2-0
Abstract
We compare First Call analyst forecasts of earnings to unofficial forecasts commonly referred to as whispers. Our analysis indicates that whispers are more accurate proxies for market expectations of earnings than are First C all forecasts, consistent with the claim in the professional press that whi spers are increasingly becoming the true market expectation of earnings. Fu rther, trading strategies based on the relation between whisper and First C all forecasts earn abnormal returns. This suggests that whispers contain in formation not contained in First Call forecasts and that at least part of t his information is impounded in price prior to the earnings release. (C) 19 99 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.