I. Simmonds et Rj. Murray, Southern extratropical cyclone behavior in ECMWF analyses during the FROSTspecial observing periods, WEATHER FOR, 14(6), 1999, pp. 878-891
The data collected during the three special observing periods (SOPs) of the
Antarctic First Regional Observing Study of the Troposphere project provid
e an excellent base upon which re, study the behavior of cyclonic systems i
n winter, spring, and summer in the Southern Hemisphere. This paper provide
s a report on the behavior of these cyclonic systems during the three SOPs
as revealed in the twice-daily ECMWF operational analyses.
The study has been undertaken with an objective cyclone tracking algorithm
applied to the digital analyses. The results revealed cyclone behavior gene
rally in accord with long-term climatologies developed with this scheme. Ln
the SOPs the authors observed many systems to be generated in the western
part of the ocean basins and then to move east and, to a lesser extent, sou
th. In the three periods they found a concentration of tracks just to the n
orth of the Antarctic continent, being particularly noticeable in the India
n Ocean. At the same time, they found significant differences in cyclone be
havior between the climatology and the SOPs in specific regions. The monthl
y mean sea level pressure (MSLP) anomalies during the SOPs were quite large
(and exceeded 10 hPa in places), particularly in the Pacific and in the re
gion to the south of Australia. It appears that the anomalous cyclone struc
ture during the SOPs could be related to the anomalies of the MSLP. The aut
hors suggest that the PP three SOPs cannot be regarded as typical of their
time of year, but it could be argued that no specific period could be so re
garded.
The results obtained with these high quality analyses during the SOPs have
confirmed the Antarctic coast as a region of high cyclone density and of ve
ry active cyclogenesis. The identification of these high levels of coastal
cyclogenesis appears to differ from early studies that suggested the greate
st (winter) cyclogenetic activity to be much farther north in the 40 degree
s-50 degrees S region. The results presented here, however, concur with rec
ent studies undertaken with high-resolution satellite data and four-dimensi
onal data analyses, and the theoretical consequences of the baroclinic stru
cture of the Antarctic coastal region.