Through comparing the data of El Nino and solar eclipse, a determined causa
lity between El Nino phenomena and the solar eclipses is found. By defining
the annual solar eclipse-El Nino coefficient R-1 and the accumulative sola
r eclipse-El Nino Coefficient R-2, we found that once R-1 greater than or e
qual to 9 or R-2 > 10 in a certain year, there will certainly be El Nino th
at year, and vise versa. The years since 1948 inevitably observed this quan
titative causality. The thermal-dynamic mechanism is advanced and some resu
lts of prediction experiments are also given in this paper.