Observations of temperature and salinity distributions and currents have be
en combined with numerical simulations to investigate the response of a coa
stal embayment to atmospheric cooling during winter. The field experiment,
including current meter mooring, conductivity-temperature-depth (CTD) surve
ys, and weather monitoring, was carried out in Jervis Bay, New South Wales,
Australia, during the period of July to October 1996. The bay is small eno
ugh that a synoptic CTD survey can be achieved over a period of 6 hours but
still large enough that Coriolis effects are important. During a cooling e
vent, vertical convection and surface wind stress combined to produce a wel
l-mixed water column. Continued cooling produced cold, dense water in the s
hallow regions of the bay and could be identified as a tongue of cold botto
m water flowing out of the bay onto the adjacent shelf. The cold outflow pr
oduced a surface inflow to the bay of warmer shelf water, causing the bay w
aters to restratify. The response has been modeled using the three-dimensio
nal Princeton Ocean Model with a prescribed surface heat flux based on mete
orological observations. Following a period of cooling, the model produced
a stronger anticyclonic gyre at the surface and a weaker cyclonic gyre near
er the bottom. As the cold bottom water flowed out of the bay, warm shelf w
ater entered at the surface, and the anticyclonic gyre was replaced by two
counter rotating gyres: cyclonic in the northern half and anticyclonic in t
he southern half of the bay. In order to achieve a quantitative agreement b
etween the model and observations, including the restratification following
the cooling event and flow reversal associated with the change from anticy
clonic to cyclonic circulation in the northern half of the bay the surface
heat fluxes needed to be artificially increased to compensate for excessive
mixing in the model. The model results predicted a flushing time of order
1 week, depending on the duration and magnitude of the surface cooling and
the initial conditions in the bay.