We consider the influence of randomly varying parameters on the propagation
of solitons for the one-dimensional nonlinear Schrodinger equation. This m
odels, for example, optical soliton propagation in a fiber whose properties
vary with distance along the fiber. By using an averaged Lagrangian approa
ch we obtain a system of stochastic modulation equations for the evolution
of the soliton parameters, which takes the form of a randomly perturbed Kep
ler problem. We use the action-angle formulation of the Kepler problem to c
alculate the statistics of the escape time. The mean escape time for the Ke
pler problem corresponds, in the optical context, to the expected distance
until the soliton disintegrates. (C)2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights r
eserved.